This course offers a rigorous yet practical exploration of Bayesian reasoning for data-driven inference and decision-making. Students will gain a deep understanding of probabilistic modeling, and ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract We review recent developments in applying Bayesian probabilistic and statistical ideas to expert systems. Using a real, moderately complex, ...

Many organisms can predict future events from the statistics of past experience, but humans also excel at making predictions by pure reasoning: integrating multiple sources of information, guided by ...

The FDA’s new draft guidance on Bayesian methodology signals a shift toward more flexible, data-driven clinical trial designs, enabling sponsors to use prior data and adaptive approaches to improve ...

This course is available on the MPhil/PhD in International Relations and MRes/PhD in International Development. This course is available with permission as an outside option to students on other ...