GREEN BAY PACKERS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-12.5): With the Packers locked into the No. 7 seed, they’re going to be resting starters. The Vikings are trying to end their season on a five-game winning streak. PICK: Vikings -12.5

SportsLine's model simulates every game 10,000 times and reveals its NFL picks today for spread, over/under and money line

The games are played all the same, and I pick a side for every Week 17 matchup in my ATS NFL picks below. The Commanders allowed 22 second-half points in their 11-point loss to the Eagles last week, and while the Cowboys are reeling, I trust their offense as much as any unit on the field in this game.

Overall picks to win: 8-8 in Week 17 (173-82-1 for the season) Picks to win with 1-5 confidence: 4-7 (103-64-1) Picks to win with 6-10 confidence: 4-1 (70-18) Overall to cover the spread: 9-6-1 (130-117-9) Cover-the-spread picks with 1-5 confidence: 8-4-1 (107-93-8) Cover-the-spread picks with 6-10 confidence: 1-2 (23-23-1)

The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings meet Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota.