Underpinning Helfstein’s bright outlook is the assumption that Americans will keep spending — and his hope that the rate of inflation will ease. If these factors support continued GDP growth, that ...
The Daily Overview on MSNOpinion
Analyst says a recession is already hitting huge parts of America
The headline numbers say the United States is still growing, yet a growing body of state-level data suggests a very different ...
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has once again cautioned the world that a US recession could be on the cards in 2026, even at a time when country's economy has shown resilience with 3.8% GDP growth in ...
Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.
After Q3 GDP surged 4.3%, traders are already betting on a slowdown. Prediction markets price weaker Q4 growth.
The unrelenting American consumer spends through a sour mood and a cooling labor market.
One ‘easy’ way to see how above consensus expectations these tariffs were is the odds of a recession in prediction markets. For example, Polymarket – which famously outperformed pollsters in ...
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